.Correction:Thanks to this comment by Abu Hassan (see Comments section below: December 15, 2007 9:18 PM):
"The source’s claim (in Arabic) that this was a “Secret recording” done by one of the “a’loo-cha” (i.e. U.S. military)...etc, is preposterous, and frankly verges on the comical.
This video/program was produced by PBS’ Frontline under the title “A Company of Soldiers”.
Filming began in November 2004, over three years ago, and well before so called “Awakening (Sahwa)” became a part of the lexicon.
Please see the attached link: A Company of Soldiers-Part 4
Please advance the time counter to about 8:50
to see the exact portion.
To understand the context of the meeting, more of this clip (12:50 minutes
) should be watched.
Here is also the Frontline link to the transcript, and all video portions of this 90 minutes program.
The broadcast occurred in February 2005. Transcript
A highly dubious source got its message propagated, nonetheless
."I fully concur with Abu Hasan and it is a discredit to the source mentioned below. I have left the posting, nonetheless, for its significance.
وردنا تعليق من أبو حسن يشير فيه بأن الإدعاء من قبل مصدر هذا الفيديو باطل إذ أن المقابلة حدثت في عام 2004 وهي موثقة
هنا (في الدقيقة 8:50 من الفيديو)ـ
يزيد هذا الأمر من بطلان مصداقية المصدر الذي أشرت إليه في السطر التالي، إلا إننا سنـُبقي على هذه النشرة لدلالاتها.ـ
.أود أولاً، وبكل وضوح، أن أنىء عن علاقتي أو إرتباطي مع مصدر هذا الفيديو الوثائقي ، إلا أنني أنشره (بالرغم من إسلوب إخراجه الضعيف والتكرار الممل) لأهمية توضيح مدى الإذعان والتعاون والذ ُل ِّ مع المـُحتل الأمريكي، وما الحصى إلا للرمي بعيداً...ـ
We would like at the outset to confirm that we do NOT have any link or affiliation with the source of this documentary video (in Arabic), but we are posting it (despite its poor production and distracting repetitions) for its showing of the level of subjugation, grovelling and collaboration with the American occupiers. One of the 'awakened" sheikhs is being reprimanded by an American military when a Colonel Lanza knows of this and decides to administer the scolding himself. Upon entering, the sheikh immediately spurts that "I apologize to the Colonel". Discomforting pebbles are only to be discarded.
American-Iraqi translator (not an Arab from his accent)
ـ"معاناة المترجمين العراقيين الذين اختاروا العمل مع القوات الدنماركية، وغيرها من قوات الاحتلال في بلادهم، تبخرت آمالهم، وتهدمت قصورهم التي بنوْها في الهواء، بعد أن كانوا يعوّلون على الاحتلال أن يعينهم، وذويهم. لكنهم حين جاءوه وقت الحاجة، لم يجدوه شيئًا، ووجدوا أنفسهم بين مِطرقة المقاومة في بلدانهم، وسندان اللجوء السياسي في الخارج. ويتذرع هؤلاء المترجمون عادة بأنهم يعملون مع الاحتلال، مساعدةً في إعادة إعمار بلادهم، ـ
ـ 6 كانون الأول 2007."Like many of the thousands of Iraqis who chose to work with U.S. and other coalition troops, they put themselves at risk, often with the explicit goal of helping to build a better Iraq. Their hopes were lost amid the confusing, violent aftermath of the invasion, and they turned out to be nobody's heroes, despite their sacrifices.
Now they find themselves facing a future in a country that is, at best, ambivalent toward their presence."Iraqis get a chilly welcome as refugees in Denmark, Novenber 26, 2007.Notice the similarity?
نـٌُشرت هذه المقالة على موقع الجزيرة.نت في 28 تشرين الثاني 2007. ـ
وبالمناسبة، تـُـفنـّد هذه المقالة الإدعاء المنشور مؤخراً من قبل جهات لها الباع المشهود "بصدق" تخمينها كحذاء أبو قاسم الطنبوري
ـ4 كانون الأول 2007
(translated from the Arabic version that was posted on Al-Jazeera.net on November 28, 2007).
As I was saying:
"In 2005, a National Intelligence Estimate had said Iran was "determined" to acquire nuclear weapons, a view that meshed with the foreign policy of an administration that in 2002 declared Iran to be part of an "axis of evil." But former and current U.S. intelligence officials said the flaws in that report reflected only the extreme difficulty of penetrating Iran's nuclear program (emphasis added)."
The value of on the ground intelligence and not satellite images:
"American intelligence agencies reversed their view about the status of Iran's nuclear weapons program after they obtained notes last summer from the deliberations of Iranian military officials involved in the weapons development program, senior intelligence and government officials said on Wednesday.
The notes included conversations and deliberations in which some of the military officials complained bitterly about what they termed a decision by their superiors in late 2003 to shut down a complex engineering effort to design nuclear weapons, including a warhead that could fit atop Iranian missiles. "
And, out of desperation, but still unsuccessful:
"The program has had limited success. Officials said that fewer than six well-placed Iranians have defected, and that none has been in a position to provide comprehensive information on Tehran's nuclear program".
Now, it is getting interesting:
"Israeli intelligence estimates say Iran stopped all its nuclear weapons activities for a time in 2003, nervous after the American invasion of Iraq, but then resumed those activities in 2005, accelerating enrichment and ballistic missile development and constructing a 40-megawatt heavy-water reactor in Arak that could produce plutonium.
Israel believes Iran continues to work, however limited by international pressure and economic and technical difficulties, on all phases of building a nuclear weapon. Iran denies ever having had a nuclear weapons program and says its nuclear program is focused on generating electricity."
However, at the briefing:
"Israel does not have "smoking gun" intelligence that will force an American reassessment of its National Intelligence Estimate that Iran halted its nuclear weapons plan in 2003, a government official told The Jerusalem Post Monday."
Hence, back to square one. Neither Israeli nor American "Intelligence" know the status of Iran's nuclear military program or locations.
PS: A comment arrived by email:"He [author] really only establishes that Iran chose a path to nuclear energy which would provide them with the CAPABILITY of changing over to a bomb program IF they decided to do so. This is essentially what Arnold Evans has argued - that Iran is developing a nuclear weapons CAPABILITY on a par with that of Japan or other nations who have nuclear energy but not a nuclear weapons program. Not quite the same thing as having a nuclear weapons program. It might have made sense for Iran to have a weapons program when Iraq did, but since Iraq no longer has one, Iran doesn't really need one. Israel is a sufficient reason as well, but there Iran knows that it will never match the arsenal Israel has. Therefore at most Iran would need only one deliverable bomb in order to take regime change off the table. And since its program is under such tight examination now, it has probably decided that it would be better off not having a bomb and relying on its asymmetrical retaliatory capability".
Why does Iran need to match Israeli nuclear arsenal? These are not bullets or missiles. One would be sufficient for deterrence and attack.
With no "Human Intelligence" on the ground, the American Intelligence (a pun) might as well look into a crystal ball. Who exposed Arak after 8 years of construction? American satellites? Israeli Intelligence? No, Iranian opposition in Paris.
Who knows where the secret nuclear establishments are in Iran? Nobody but the Iranians, no matter what "tight examination" you throw at them.
The political positioning of Iran, strategically, does not preclude, but rather dictates, nuclear deterrence.
See also MadAsHell's comment (13th down in bold December 05, 2007 4:06 AM) in the Comments section.